Milwaukee Brewers at Los Angeles Dodgers Game 1 odds, picks and best bets

The eighth-seeded Milwaukee Brewers (29-31 regular season) visit the top-seeded Los Angeles Dodgers (43-17) Wednesday in Game 1 of a best-of-three NL Wild Card Series at Dodger Stadium. First pitch is 10:08 p.m. (on ESPN). Below, we analyze the Brewers-Dodgers MLB betting odds and lines, with picks and best bets.

Brewers at Dodgers: Projected starting pitchers

LHP Brent Suter vs. RHP Walker Buehler

With ace Corbin Burnes on the injured list, the Brewers are handing the ball to Suter in an opener role. Suter went 2-0 with a 3.13 ERA (31 2/3 IP, 11 ER) in 16 games, including 4 starts this season.

• The lefty hasn't pitched more than 4 innings in any of his 16 outings
• Last start: No-decision, 4 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 1 BB, 4 K at St. Louis Cardinals Friday - Brewers won 3-0 in Game 1 of a doubleheader
• Career vs. Dodgers: 0-1, 6.00 ERA (3 IP, 2 ER) in 1 start
• Career postseason: 1 scoreless inning, 1 H, 0 BB in the 2019 NL Wild Card Game

Buehler finished 1-0 with a 3.44 ERA (36 2/3 IP, 14 ER) in 8 starts. Due to a blister, he spent 14 days on the injured list before his last outing.

• Last start: No-decision, 4 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 1 BB, 6 K vs. Oakland Athletics Thursday - Dodgers won 5-1
• Career vs. Brewers: 0-1, 1.29 ERA (7 IP, 1 ER) in 1 start in 2018
• 2018 vs. Brewers in NLCS: 0-1, 3.86 ERA (11 2/3 IP, 5 ER) in 2 starts

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Brewers at Dodgers: Key injuries

(Get the latest injury news here.)

Brewers

• SP Corbin Burns (oblique) out
• OF Ben Gamel (quadriceps) questionable
• 1B/DH Daniel Vogelbach (leg) questionable
• RP Devin Williams (shoulder) out

Dodgers

• OF Mookie Betts (hip) probable
• 3B Justin Turner (hamstring) probable

Brewers at Dodgers: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 2:15 p.m. ET.

Prediction

Dodgers 4, Brewers 1

Money line (ML)

The Dodgers (-223) are the biggest favorite in a 2020 playoff game so far. They're 21-9 at home this season, best in the NL. Plus, LA is 4-0 in Buehler's 4 home starts this season - the right-hander is 1-0 with a 1.31 ERA (20 2/3 IP, 3 ER) with 29 K's in those starts.

But the price is too high. Every $2.23 bet on the Dodgers ML would profit only $1 if they win, where a winning $1 bet on the Brewers (+195) profits $1.95. PASS.

Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The DODGERS -1.5 (+ 100) are worth a small-unit play, half your usual wager. Their 36-24 RL record ranked third in the majors, while the Brewers +1.5 (-121) finished last at 23-37.

Over/Under (O/U)

The UNDER 8 ( -110) is the STRONGEST PLAY, 1.5 times your usual bet. Both starting pitchers didn't allow an earned run in their previous outings. In fact, Suter didn't allow a run in three of his four starts this season, two three-inning stints and one four-inning performance.

Buehler should get into the seventh inning and the Dodgers bullpen ranks second in the majors with a 2.74 ERA.

Once the Brewers get into the back end of their bullpen, the Dodgers will have to deal with LHP Josh Hader (0.947 WHIP, 14.7 K/9).

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